Bank of Japan today - preview - set to lift rates to 31-year high as Iran deal clouds path
USD/JPY — All Desk Targets
| Firm | Stance | YE 2026 |
|---|---|---|
Bank of America | Bullish | 149.00 |
UOB | Neutral | 163.50 |
UBS | Bullish | 150.00 |
From the original
A hike to 1% is essentially fully priced by markets, so the immediate yen and JGB reaction will hinge on Deputy Governor Uchida's tone at the post-meeting briefing. Any signal of a faster-than-expected path toward 1.25% would put fresh upward pressure on the yen and weigh on Japa
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Bank of Japan raises rates to 1%, and will end tapering next year
The Bank of Japan's recent decision to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 1%, while committing to halt tapering by April 2027, underscores a significant shift in its monetary policy amidst rising inflation concerns. Per the full note from ING, the 7-1 vote reflects a consensus within the central bank about inflationary pressures, despite dissent regarding downside risks to the economy. The immediate market reaction was mild, but a sustained hawkish tone from Deputy Governor Uchida indicates further tightening could be anticipated, contingent on global geopolitical developments, particularly regarding the Middle East.