Euro to Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Lost 1% Last Week, Further Losses Ahead?
Original excerpt
A near-1% weekly fall leaves the Euro exposed to further Dollar gains, although both banks see ECB tightening limiting the decline. The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) finished Friday near 1.1486, almost 1% lower over the week, with ING warning of a possible test of 1.1
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Euro: Downside bias toward 1.1400 against US Dollar – UOB
EUR/USD technician signals 1.1400 as key support level; breach could accelerate USD strength in G10 positioning.
Euro: PMI strength limits downside against US Dollar – BBH
Strong eurozone PMI data provides technical support for EUR/USD, constraining further dollar strength from macro momentum alone.
Euro: De-escalation risk weighs on EUR against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Peace negotiations or geopolitical de-escalation would reduce safe-haven demand and remove structural EUR support, pressuring EUR/USD toward lower levels.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Hits fresh low since July 29, around 1.1425 as USD stays firm
EUR/USD at 3-week lows signals sustained USD bid; monitor for break below 1.1420 technical support.
Bank desks on this topic
Rates Spark: The overshoot commences
Articles Rates Spark: The overshoot commences Published 17:08 Rates Spark Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Download A good series of PMIs has helped nudge global rates higher. It's taken us above some key levels, namely 5.1% on the US 10yr and 3
FX Daily: Dollar resilience builds
Articles FX Daily: Dollar resilience builds Published 07:45 FX Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Download The dollar has remained firm despite oil and global risk sentiment arguing for a correction. Hawkish Fedspeak remains key, and this week und
FX Daily: Hawkish Fedspeak breaks oil-USD link
Articles FX Daily: Hawkish Fedspeak breaks oil-USD link Published 07:32 FX Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Download While oil prices declined and global equities rallied, the dollar had a strong start to the week. That’s primarily thanks
Rates Spark: Time not on France’s side
Articles Rates Spark: Time not on France’s side Published 16:51 Rates Spark Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Share X LinkedIn E-mail Copy link Download The spread between 10Y French government bonds (OATs) and German Bunds has tightened below 100bp again, but we see more upside
Cross-firm research
EUR/USD Consensus vs Spot: Week of September 23, 2026
EUR/USD spot sits at 1.1392, roughly 2.50% below the 30-firm median Dec-26 target of 1.1684, leaving consensus firmly bullish on the pair.
EUR/USD at 1.1449 vs 1.1684 Consensus: Where 30 Banks Stand
EUR/USD spot sits 2.01% below the 30-firm Dec-26 consensus of 1.1684, exposing a structural bullish tilt that spot has yet to validate.
EUR/USD Consensus Check: Spot at 1.1468, Median Target 1.1684 — Week of September 21, 2026
EUR/USD spot sits 1.85% below the 30-firm median Dec-26 target of 1.1684, with a 0.14 dispersion range signalling material disagreement on the Fed-ECB endgame.